Wednesday, December 12, 2012

What does it mean when the Fed says they will Keep interest rates low?

The Fed has stated that it will keep interest rates low for at least two more years. They will continue to be aggressive in support of the economic recovery. However, the Fed does not directly control long-term rates which determine the cost of home loans and even loans on automobiles. It can influence long-term rates through the purchases of government securities, and is indeed doing so. When the markets perceive that the recovery is picking up steam, it will react accordingly. The day of the release of positive employment figures, we saw long-term rates go up. That does not mean that the economy is out of the woods and that the increase was permanent. It was a reminder that when and if the economy gains strength all bets are off. The recent strength in the real estate market is one factor which can make that happen.

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