Wednesday, December 12, 2012
What does it mean when the Fed says they will Keep interest rates low?
The Fed has stated that it will keep interest
rates low for at least two more years. They will continue to be aggressive in
support of the economic recovery. However, the Fed does not directly control
long-term rates which determine the cost of home loans and even loans on
automobiles. It can influence long-term rates through the purchases of
government securities, and is indeed doing so. When the markets perceive that
the recovery is picking up steam, it will react accordingly. The day of the
release of positive employment figures, we saw long-term rates go up. That does
not mean that the economy is out of the woods and that the increase was
permanent. It was a reminder that when and if the economy gains strength all
bets are off. The recent strength in the real estate market is one factor which
can make that happen.
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