Many
people ask me where I believe mortgage interest rates will be in the next year
or so. Unfortunately, there is no way of knowing, other than we know as the
economy improves, and the Fed’s stop manipulating the monetary system, mortgage
interest rates will continue to rise. The folks at the Mortgage Bankers
Association, just published a forecast on April 8th, 2014. Here is the link to our
mortgage market forecast and historical quarterly origination's, posted on the MBA
website.The forecast provides quarterly data on historical and forecast ed housing starts, interest rates for 30 and 10 year fixed mortgages, and loan origination's.
Clearly,
mortgage origination's have significantly dropped, primarily due to interest
rates rising 1% in the last year. For example loan origination's for Q1 of 2013
was $524 billion versus Q1 of 2014 at $226 billion. However, both purchase
of new and existing home sales has dropped, likely due to investors leaving the
market and the recent run up in home valuations.
For
people who are looking to purchase or refinance residential real estate,
evaluate the cost of waiting, as interest rates WILL rise over the next year.
If
you or someone you know, is looking to purchase or refinance residential
property, send them my way for a complimentary analysis.
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